Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 72.335313 81.472209 90.798069 100.996497 111.803980 122.886359 135.080399
2025-11-23 57.084709 70.090941 83.962873 99.725711 117.015038 135.288486 155.952133
2025-11-30 49.402570 64.680771 81.500450 101.119070 123.124374 146.824609 174.068491
2025-12-07 43.677606 60.631091 79.827760 102.722628 128.879013 157.476580 190.772546
2025-12-14 37.631103 55.513772 76.348730 101.742131 131.260792 163.983934 202.524350
2025-12-21 32.056683 50.403336 72.411071 99.810801 132.192370 168.553758 211.831075
2025-12-28 30.050623 49.503064 73.328285 103.430034 139.403010 180.141762 228.961241
2026-01-04 27.527938 47.692099 72.940543 105.327358 144.468340 189.170589 243.100161
2026-01-11 24.230681 44.566091 70.689475 104.773865 146.478248 194.544937 252.950237
2026-01-18 21.334958 41.728317 68.607896 104.262953 148.403057 199.712190 262.470132
2026-01-25 19.169761 39.725124 67.464719 104.805007 151.505257 206.188474 273.448956
2026-02-01 16.766571 37.154570 65.411820 104.065841 152.941158 210.615382 281.971901
2026-02-08 14.868527 35.199824 64.108809 104.249728 155.513143 216.426437 292.183876
2026-02-15 12.773882 32.726738 61.952903 103.220326 156.502344 220.291910 300.070994
2026-02-22 11.609448 31.646948 61.670095 104.591622 160.451102 227.687538 312.111755
2026-03-01 10.628870 30.777967 61.625663 106.234655 164.711768 235.441714 324.568634
2026-03-08 9.053748 28.681807 59.680858 105.233896 165.545419 238.977439 331.953809
2026-03-15 7.427437 26.259635 57.107273 103.266018 165.054276 240.827249 337.265032
2026-03-22 7.216476 26.554282 58.641281 106.954003 171.866197 251.662142 353.394966
2026-03-29 6.647906 26.062710 58.929267 108.886983 176.386653 259.663769 366.108128
2026-04-05 5.636530 24.505934 57.475427 108.323119 177.609390 263.554343 373.829749
2026-04-12 4.743501 23.050270 56.095958 107.802614 178.844134 267.427953 381.506995
2026-04-19 4.122822 22.111547 55.495185 108.354845 181.467949 273.017455 391.260722